case-control study
Summary
A case-control study is an observational, retrospective study that starts with outcome status: it compares people with the disease (cases) to people without it (controls) and looks back to compare prior exposures. It is best for rare diseases and diseases with long latency. Its measure of association is the odds ratio (OR).
Detail
**Design (outcome → exposure):** - Select cases (disease present) and controls (disease absent, from the same source population). - Look backward to measure exposure history in both groups. - Compare the odds of exposure in cases vs. controls.
**Measure of association:** Odds ratio = (a×d)/(b×c) from the 2×2 table, or the odds of exposure in cases divided by the odds of exposure in controls. - OR > 1: exposure is associated with higher odds of disease (risk factor). - OR = 1: no association. - OR < 1: exposure is associated with lower odds of disease (protective). - It cannot directly give incidence, prevalence, or relative risk, because the investigator fixes the number of cases and controls. When the disease is rare (the "rare disease assumption"), OR ≈ RR.
**Strengths:** - Quick, inexpensive, and needs relatively few subjects. - Efficient for rare diseases (e.g., vaginal clear cell adenocarcinoma and in utero DES exposure). - Efficient for diseases with long latency. - Can examine multiple exposures for one outcome.
**Weaknesses:** - Cannot establish temporality as reliably as a cohort study, so it cannot prove causation. - Cannot calculate incidence or relative risk. - Prone to **recall bias**: cases remember exposures differently than controls. - Prone to **selection bias**: controls are not representative of the source population (e.g., Berkson bias with hospital-based controls). - Prone to confounding, which is addressed by matching, restriction, or multivariate (logistic regression) analysis.
**Control selection:** Controls should come from the same population that produced the cases, so that they would have been identified as cases had they developed the disease. Common sources are population-based, hospital-based, and matched controls. Matching improves comparability but can lead to overmatching.
**Comparison with other designs (high-yield):** - Cohort study: exposure → outcome, can be prospective or retrospective, gives relative risk and incidence, and is best for common diseases or rare exposures. - Cross-sectional study: measures exposure and disease at one time point, gives prevalence, and cannot establish temporality. - Case series/case report: descriptive, with no control group. - Randomized controlled trial: experimental, the gold standard for causation.
**Step 1/2 pearls:** - Stem clues: "patients with X compared with matched individuals without X," "odds ratio," "retrospectively reviewed." - Case-control is the observational design best suited to a rare disease. - Nested case-control studies sample cases and controls from within a defined cohort, which reduces recall bias.
Sources
- First Aid for the USMLE Step 1 – Biostatistics & Epidemiology: Study Types
- Kaplan USMLE Step 1 Lecture Notes: Biostatistics and Epidemiology
- Gordis Epidemiology
- Fletcher & Fletcher, Clinical Epidemiology: The Essentials
- UWorld Step 1/Step 2 CK Qbank – Biostatistics
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